Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019993 0.021613 0.023301 0.025194 0.027259 0.029443 0.031931
2025-09-28 0.017319 0.019641 0.022191 0.025207 0.028681 0.032567 0.037254
2025-10-05 0.015483 0.018193 0.021288 0.025096 0.029670 0.035007 0.041734
2025-10-12 0.014256 0.017240 0.020758 0.025231 0.030791 0.037512 0.046302
2025-10-19 0.013249 0.016420 0.020260 0.025281 0.031713 0.039727 0.050554
2025-10-26 0.012379 0.015675 0.019763 0.025244 0.032452 0.041684 0.054523
2025-11-02 0.011640 0.015028 0.019322 0.025210 0.033143 0.043561 0.058443
2025-11-09 0.010835 0.014233 0.018624 0.024768 0.033228 0.044593 0.061230
2025-11-16 0.010122 0.013511 0.017968 0.024321 0.033250 0.045501 0.063849
2025-11-23 0.009615 0.013031 0.017600 0.024233 0.033738 0.047050 0.067436
2025-11-30 0.009120 0.012537 0.017180 0.024035 0.034038 0.048324 0.070663
2025-12-07 0.008692 0.012110 0.016826 0.023901 0.034409 0.049694 0.074087
2025-12-14 0.008233 0.011632 0.016395 0.023661 0.034653 0.050956 0.077536
2025-12-21 0.007882 0.011293 0.016148 0.023681 0.035288 0.052847 0.082103
2025-12-28 0.007526 0.010925 0.015836 0.023579 0.035721 0.054438 0.086279
2026-01-04 0.007259 0.010676 0.015684 0.023705 0.036504 0.056606 0.091519
2026-01-11 0.006993 0.010411 0.015491 0.023752 0.037154 0.058584 0.096555
2026-01-18 0.006726 0.010130 0.015258 0.023717 0.037661 0.060344 0.101317
2026-01-25 0.006478 0.009867 0.015038 0.023686 0.038163 0.062112 0.106193
2026-02-01 0.006159 0.009477 0.014598 0.023273 0.038001 0.062739 0.109067
2026-02-08 0.005860 0.009106 0.014171 0.022856 0.037803 0.063285 0.111811
2026-02-15 0.005652 0.008871 0.013953 0.022774 0.038171 0.064823 0.116471
2026-02-22 0.005435 0.008613 0.013682 0.022589 0.038343 0.066019 0.120552